Senate prediction - Mid-October

It looks like all those Dems in NJ MIGHT have been right, the race is swinging their way, with new polls showing Menendez up by 4. MO is still too tight to call and VA has slumped back into Allen land after a brief hiatus in "illegal stock gambit aids Webb" land. Ford has had a bunch of big polls lately, but if there is one race I think we might lose in a stunner - it is TN. First African-American Senator from the South since the you-know-what.